Wednesday, May 30, 2007

BT Fusion and Orange Unik

May 31st, 2007

Some interesting facts & figures from this morning’s UMA webcast done jointly by Kineto & Orange.

France Telecom has an installed base of 4.8m LiveBox gateways (mostly in France), and has >140k Unik subscriptions & has sold >200k phones (also mostly in France). Current run rate sounds like around 25k phones a month.

Have to say I’m surprised by the statistic that 15-20% of calls involve a handover - much higher than I’d have anticipated, although there’s a possibility of self-selection here: I imagine the proposition is much more attractive to people who use their phones at home a lot. It could also be they’ve tuned the LiveBox WiFi to a smaller range & so there’s some occasional accidental handovers to the macro network.

By contrast BT is reported to have (still) only around 40k Fusion users, although it’s a bit opaque about whether that’s acccounts or phones. It has an installed base of “more than 1m” Home Hubs (I think it also said the same thing at end-2006, so I’d guess the number is a fair bit more by now).

Interestingly, although BT is being castigated for its slow growth, it looks like the penetration of dual-mode into homes with operator-provided gateways is broadly similar -around 3-4% (ie 140k against 4m LiveBox in markets where Unik has launched).

I’ve been saying for a while that UMA-based dualmode is only really an option when sold in conjunction with an operator’s home gateway, in order to minimise costs of support & complexity of configuration, as well as enabling better QoS. It will be interesting to see if T-Mobile’s promised full launch in the US will work around this and run over anyone’s box/connection - as well as whether it incurs the wrath of Net Neutrality issues for running it’s mobile service “across someone else’s broadband”.

One other thing occurred to me - I think that the French aren’t quite as voracious as the British in demanding the latest, most expensive, flashiest phones (ideally subsidised down to £zero). This could mean that Orange has had an easier time than BT in pushing the early unsexy, low-end UMA phones. Unik also has more attractive pricing, reflecting France’s hugely competitive voice marketplace, and can offer free on-net calls to other Orange mobiles (incurring no net interconnect costs obviously), which BT cannot match in the UK.

Imagine

May 31st, 2007

“Imagine that when you shopped online for a digital camera, you could see whether anyone you knew already owned it and ask them what they thought. Imagine that when you searched for a concert ticket you could learn if friends were headed to the same show.

Or that you knew which sites - or what news stories - people you trust found useful and which they disliked. Or maybe you could find out where all your friends and relatives are, right now (at least those who want to be found).”

Fortune

I just imagine how this would be misused…

Think and you’ll have the problem of disposal of ideas…
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The very next future of advertising

May 31st, 2007

If video is indeed the most important type of user generated content today, and we have entered the monetization phase of the new web, then the gold rush fever surrounding video ads is not a surprise. But what is the right way of doing this?

The right way is going to be whoever manages to deliver ads in a format that does not annoy consumers. A repeat of what Google did with text ads, but in video, is going unlock huge advertising spending and shift even more of it online. Will this be Google or some other company? We do not know yet, but Google has already spent a whooping $1.65B on YouTube, so it will fight this battle hard. In this post we look at what different companies are doing today and consider the ingredients of a successful solution, using AdWords as a model.
Read/Write Web

And the very next future of advertising company is the one man marketing.
And the very next future of middleman in the advertising world is something PayPerPost like.

Think and you’ll have the problem of disposal of ideas…
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P2P the new kind of distribution

May 31st, 2007

Hollywood produces the content and P2P is the new kind of distribution.
The kind people like most: the FREE kind.
The more bandwidth and broadband available, the more the distribution changes hands.
But how long will it last?
As long as there is no other way to produce content.
A good alternative is YouTube or YouTubes like.
People begin to take to liking this new way of producing content and we are getting better.
I do not talk of the value, I talk of the quality.
The value of course reflects the cultural level of the audience, but in that they are not so much different from the paid content.
A mass market product cannot be a high level product.
If you have to please the majority, than you have to reflect the needs of the majority.
And people usually do not like education, that is something boring and difficult to understand.
People are lazy and getting lazier every day.
Once our grandmothers cooked for days and today cooking is putting something in the microwave.
Once they did a lot of manual work, now we have a lot of machines working as manuals.
Once they walked and today we drive.
It is not that once they were better, they just had less.
The problem is that with this lack of physical exercise you would expect an increase of brain exercise.
Nothing of that kind.
Lazy in the body, lazy in the spirit.
We have come to the easy and free society.
But one day WE ALL will have to pay the bill.

Think and you’ll have the problem of disposal of ideas…
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New worm in Skype Chat!

May 31st, 2007

Language is the way to a culture.

May 31st, 2007

What about learning Italian?
What about being able to know one of the oldest culture of the World?
What about living in the wonderful and active city of Milano?
What about a full immersion in History?
All this and much more is what the italian courses in Italy will offer.
Italian is not an easy language, and to learn to speak it the correct way (perfection is something it’s difficult to find even among Italians)you need good and trained teachers.
This is what you will find in the Accademia di Milano.
All their language courses fit the Common European Framework, the Council of Europe guidelines. The classes are small with an average of six students, to maximize proficiency.
The Accademia di Italiano is one of the best italian language schools in Italy .
So, if you plan to follow italian language courses in Italy you will hardly find a better place.

This is a sponsored post, please read disclosure policy.

Think and you’ll have the problem of disposal of ideas…
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Building tomorrow’s world…

May 31st, 2007

“We are at the early stage of building tomorrow’s world. All I can do is talk vision right now - “

Everybody, always once in his life is “at the early stage to build tomorrow’s world”.
Being it doing something good and innovative or something the opposite.
That is our fate, unless we decide to survive doing nothing, which is not even possible…
Where does the bread come from?

Think and you’ll have the problem of disposal of ideas…
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Surfing the Net you can fish a date with a Celebrity

May 31st, 2007

Yes, a date with a HOT Hollywood celeb.
What do you have to do to give it a try?
Go to Free videos at GoFish.com

Submit one or more videos.
Each celebrity will give users 3 calls-to-actions to guide their video submissions in hopes of scoring the date. The more videos you submit, the better your chances are of winning.
How to win?
The problem is NOT knowing what it takes to win, Mirelly Taylor (yes the one who has appeared on movies such as Kiss Me Again and Serving Sara and television shows including “Las Vegas”, “Punk’d”, and “Numb3rs”) clearly says how her date should be.
The problem is ACTUALLY being the way SHE wants.
Something close to Mr. Perfection.
The bad thing is that few men are so perfect, the good thing is that it is enough to pretend to be that way.
The moment she will realize you are not, it will be too late.
You will already be on the dreamed of, looked for, sought of, DATE.
So, what you have to do:
1) Collect some good ideas about a video or more.
2) You can easily get them looking at other people’s work. That is what I usually do anyhow.
3) Make the video as best as you can or nearly to.
4) Go to the website and submit it.
5) Beginning to hope.

Honestly you do not have many chances.
She IS beautiful, interesting, famous.
The goal is shared by many (and, let’s be honest, may be better than you).
But you are there to live out LOUD, to try it HARD, to make it YOUR WAY.
By the way, who cares if you do not win?
In principle the nice part of it all is DREAMING.
Seduce a Celeb will run on GoFish.com over the next 14 weeks ( You have enough time to create something good).

Think and you’ll have the problem of disposal of ideas…
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Jajah get the T-mobile deal

May 30th, 2007

Internet Neutrality

May 30th, 2007

“Despite the urge to hold providers accountable for such activities, the ISP community has been remarkably
successful in maintaining a position of neutrality, the digital successor, in spirit and often in fact, to
the common carrier phone company.

Adopting this approach has required strict adherence to a cardinal rule often referred to as “network
neutrality.” This principle holds that ISPs transport bits of data without discrimination, preference, or
regard for content.

The network neutrality principle has served ISPs, internet firms and internet users well. It has enabled
ISPs to plausibly argue that they function much like common carriers and therefore should be exempt from
liability for the content that passes through their systems.”

The neutrality was more a way to get more customers than a way of seeing the Internet.
And now, when the customers are there and they contributed to make the Internet a global power as it is, they see the convenience in discriminating the users in base of the use they do of the broadband lines.
But they easily forget that the number makes the revenue and if the customer won’t find the content he is looking for, the Internet will stop to have the appeal it has now, including the cheap calls.

Think and you’ll have the problem of disposal of ideas…

voipniche backpack

Are you going to get a new car?

May 29th, 2007

Do you need a new or used car?
We are so spoiled now a days, with the Internet, we can do anything we have to, without the need to move from home.
You just click, look for the right website, pay with your credit card and all you have to do is waiting that somebody delivers.
You can really buy everything (also what you do not need, but this is another subject…)
If you need a new or used car, but you haven’t decided yet, because you need some help, Autotropolis is the right website.
They not only help you to find the right type for your needs (or your likings) they also tell you where you can find it.
First they suggest you the type and model with the Vehicle Selector Aid, then they tell you what the right price should be.
And I guess they must have very good deals, because they actually encourage you to request a car quote from a local dealership.
They WILL tell you what the TIP (true Internet price) is.
You also have the chance to know everything you want about the car you choose, in the Automotive Community, in the Car Forums, in the Car Price Alert Blogs.
And if you want you can also find the list of the top ten most requested cars.
Last and not unimportant, you can find a Dealership Locator
, integrated with Google Maps. You’ll have the list of all the dealerships in the USA, besides rates and reviews on local car dealers.
For the moment the locator is just for new cars.
But you can find dealers with new and also used cars.

Well, if you need a new car, this is really a good chance to easily find what you are looking for at the best price!

Think and you’ll have the problem of disposal of ideas…
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Bollywood iPod size

May 29th, 2007

Bollywood is the name given to the Mumbai-based Hindi-language film industry in India.
It is considered to be the largest in the world in terms of number of films produced, and maybe also the number of tickets sold.
The movies are usually musicals, they are called after the famous mixed spice, Masala. How could Bollywood not be in a website YouTube like?
Aapkavideo is where you can mostly find Bollywood like videos.
It is fully free.
Free to upload and free to download.
Now you can be a movie viewer, a movie star and a movie producer.
What you need is a little bit of Skill, a little bit of brain and of course a little bit of time.
Of course you also have the freedom to choose the subject you prefer, including cricket and places of interest.
To invite people to use it they even have a contest for the most popular videos uploaded and couldn’t be the prize something else than a free iPod?

Skype will CO-Brand VoSKY, Skype to PBX gateway for businesses

May 29th, 2007

Who pays?

May 29th, 2007

“BusinessWeek: How concerned are you about Internet upstarts like Google (GOOG), MSN, Vonage, and others?

Whitacre: How do you think they’re going to get to customers? Through a broadband pipe. Cable companies have them. We have them. Now what they would like to do is use my pipes free, but I ain’t going to let them do that because we have spent this capital and we have to have a return on it. So there’s going to have to be some mechanism for these people who use these pipes to pay for the portion they’re using. Why should they be allowed to use my pipes?

The Internet can’t be free in that sense, because we and the cable companies have made an investment and for a Google or Yahoo! (YHOO) or Vonage or anybody to expect to use these pipes [for] free is nuts! “

Well, things are not as seen sometimes.
The cable companies or Internet Providers own or lease the broadband lines and MAKE A (HUGE) PROFIT leasing them to customers.

It is not YAHOO GOOGLE and so using the pipes for FREE it is the customers USING the pipes they PAY FOR…

Think and you’ll have the problem of disposal of ideas…
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We have come a long way, Mr. Backup

Tags: ,

Monday, May 28, 2007

A few days of VOIPNICHE

VoIP: the right business in the wrong hands

May 28th, 2007

Remember: VoIP the Zero billion Euros business?

Sometimes offering the right thing in the wrong way, can produce unsuccessful results.

That is going to happen if the companies who deliver it do not understand the real customers’ needs and the power of this new technology.

They have the wrong approach to it.
They see VoIP as a cheap replacement of the actual telephone service.
They hope in the blooming business of offering something similar for less.
Usually the cheap product means a widespread market.
But it is hardly like that in the specific case of VoIP.
The expensive parts of the telephone service are the international and intercontinental calls.
But those are not usually the need of the mass; the usual people mostly call locally.
This is even more valid for a country like Europe, which is not even a Union like the USA, since its many languages and nations.
We are still not a real Union.

The users of international and intercontinental calls are usually companies, but for them quality and services are still more important than cost in itself.
If VoIP fails to provide what the actual telephone service does, then most of them will just use it as a second line, the “cheap one”.

But VoIP in its own nature is something that not only can offer a very cheap alternative in the case of telephony, but a huge number of services that the usual telephony lines cannot.
That is because its particular structure, see :

http://www.worldonip.com/endtoend.htm

and the fact that we have a “stupid line” and “smart devices” at both ends.

Using VoIP is using a computer directly connected to a phone line, that acts as a computer and a communication center in the same time.
You do not have to dial numbers, you just click on a name on your outlook list and you are immediately connected. You can have conference calls, you can send pictures, you can have video conferences you can do all what your computer can do.

This is the Power of VoIP

Think and you’ll have the problem of disposal of ideas…
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Nature and Spirit

May 28th, 2007

The Lotus Path Workshops

Think and you’ll have the problem of disposal of ideas…
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Wi-FI, Wi not?

May 28th, 2007

Content, content, content.

This is the heart, the brain, the blood and the Internet is the vessels.

Without blood there is no need for veins, without veins there is no humanity, without humanity the world would be different (I still have doubts if better, but this is my humble opinion).

Narrow vessels mean bad circulation as much as narrowband Internet means narrowband future.

Broadband will allow better communications, better downloading, faster streaming and spreading of content.
The next need is broadband at low cost.

DSL doesn’t allow more than a certain limit, Fiber Optic is getting too expensive, especially in rural or semi rural zones.
Wi-FI is the natural evolution of the actual technology and the actual way of living.
Without considering the ubiquity of Wi-Fi that by itself would relegate to oblivion the wired world.

Wasn’t the portable phone the biggest success by far?
I do not want to enter in discussion if it was a good thing or not, also that could be my humble opinion.
The fact is that it was a winner and Wi-Fi is its natural follower.
You need more, the telephone line cannot deliver, let’s look for something else.

Wi-Fi, Wi not?

Think and you’ll have the problem of disposal of ideas…
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xMax revisited - a Qualcomm employee is critical

May 28th, 2007

A month ago I put up a brief post on a company called xG Technology, which generated rather more entertainment and vitriolic comments than I’d anticipated. It’s funny how I can regularly criticise UMA technology or metro-WiFi & still have cordial relationships with Kineto and assorted WiFi mesh vendors and hotspot providers (and their investors), but a relatively off-the-cuff post (which wasn’t even that negative by my standards) could generate a call for me to be “strung up”.

Since then, I’ve had few interesting emails and conversations about xMax. Last night I also had a blog comment added to an old post of mine, referring to a rather searing critique of xMax and one of its underlying patents, from a guy called Phil Karn who works for Qualcomm and who seems to enjoy taking shots at things that seem “to good to be true” - from timeshare sales pitches, through to “free energy” machines. See www.ka9q.net/xmax.html and www.ka9q.net/tristate.html . I’d actually been told about these articles a week ago or so by a 3rd party from the investment community, but didn’t have time to write up a full post or moderate the inevitable stream of comment spam I’m going to get.

Now Mr Karn’s writing style is pretty abrasive about both xG and it’s main technology guy Joe Bobier. I’m not a huge fan of attacking people rather than organisations, but nevertheless, it’s an interesting read. I don’t know enough about either the finer details of RF modulation or information theory to critique his critique, but nothing jumps out at me as being obviously wrong - as far as I can see there’s no major public debate about things like Shannon-Hartley theorem, for example. On the other hand, he does work for Qualcomm and his ka9q site is also accessible directly via http://people.qualcomm.com/karn so there will understandably be people who’ll shout “but he would say that, wouldn’t he? Qualcomm’s scared” so caveat lector.

Anyway, it’s an interesting diversion while the world waits with baited breath to hear what Telefonica Mexico makes of xG’s products in its ongoing trial. Some observers think this might happen soon, but I can’t imagine any service provider making snap judgements, in just a couple of months, about a strategic technology shift without exhaustive & lengthy large-scale trials. On the other hand as it’s billed as a “joint venture” rather than a conventional supplier relationship, it could be that Telefonica is just providing cell sites, masts or backhaul infrastructure as its part of the deal, perhaps letting xG bear more of the financial risks about the radio side and sales/marketing of devices and retail services. Given the early stage of the technology, I could envisage some sort of vendor-financing arrangement being more palatable to CFOs.

I’ve also spoken to the CTO of another operator who’s skeptical but keeping an open mind and watching brief on xMax “If it’s true, then I can’t afford to ignore it”, although he’s wary of the way the technology is being marketed and is also working on WiMAX in any case. No additional news from pioneering xMax customer, Florida ISP Far Reach on their ongoing deployment, either.

Now, some housekeeping notes:

I’m expecting some hatemail on this, just for giving Karn’s views an airing. I guess my old friend Mr Anonymous, who so graciously dispensed his wisdom on my last post, may return. I suspect he is one of the regular bullish posters on this board, who have also been shooting at Karn’s analysis and who specialise in burning heretics, rather than engaging in debate. I think my erstwhile interlocutor is quite possibly the one with the handle “marcsanpedro”, as the syntax & language & style of multiple consecutive posts is similar, plus he refers to me in one instance. If so, I can quite understand why he doesn’t like Google as a research tool. And if he’s who I think he is, he also randomly phoned me last year asking my opinion about xG.

Anyway, I’ve got a busy week ahead, so I’m going to be ruthless with deleting comments from the more rabid xG fans that are offensive rather than factual, as I don’t have time to debate endlessly. It also looks like Blogger now has a “lock comment thread” facility for individual posts, although I hope I won’t have to use it.

If you call a phone a “computer”, do you regulate differently?

May 27th, 2007

I was just reading through some document about VoIP regulation, and noticed that in some countries like Canada, the regulators make a distinction between ordinary telephony and “computer to computer” Internet telephony:

“The CRTC will not be regulating private computer -to-computer voice services over the Internet or peer-to-peer (P2P) as these do not connect to the public telephone network which is consistent with previous CRTC decisions not to regulate retail Internet services”

So, if we take Nokia’s current N-series branding at face value and refer to an advanced mobile device as a “multimedia computer”, this presumably has some interesting implications for regulation of mobile VoIP…..

Billion routers to distributed by VCOMM

May 27th, 2007


Monday, May 21, 2007

$18 Million awarded to General Dynamics :snapvoip

May 20th, 2007

Cell phone goes Social Networking, Your GPS enabled Cell Phone!

May 20th, 2007

Skype Games Channel :snapvoip

May 20th, 2007

Mobile JaJAH for your cell phone

May 19th, 2007

Femtocells and enterprise?

May 18th, 2007

I’ve just seen some marketing from another research company that suggests that enterprises will use femtocells quite widely, in the context of FMC.

I’m unconvinced that this is likely until at least 2010, if not 2012 or beyond.

Experience with picocells suggests that enterprises are wary of having operators’ equipment installed on their office LAN, especially if it has to tunnel its traffic out through a firewall. Operators are equally unhappy to have their base stations beyond their control on someone else’s network. There may be regulatory issues here too. In theory, they could be installed on a virtual LAN using the building’s spare cabling - but this still has the problem of manageability and ownership for the operator, as certain components like patch panels and fibre risers will be shared-use.

Instead, picos are often installed on completely physically separate cabling & infrastructure. Which is not inexpensive. Given that femtos cover fewer users / less range than picos, it seems to make the problem worse, not better. Distributed antenna systems may be easier, especially as they can be used for multiple operators’ networks, while picos/femtos can only be used for one carrier, and are therefore useless for visitors, or where enterprises do not want to be locked into longterm deals with a specific single operator.

Also a bunch of other issues emerge:

  • Channels - integrating femtos with PBX channels & system integrators will need years of recruitment, training & certification
  • Value chain - lots of new “moving parts” will need to be brought into the ecosystem, such as RF design houses capable of dealing with cellular inbuilding coverage
  • Software will be needed that can recognise a group of femtos as being part of the same “zone” - perhaps 30 on one site, 20 on another, and 2 in each of 100 branch office sites. Not that difficult, but to my knowledge nobody’s done it yet
  • Integration with IP-PBXs, and ways of dealing with legacy systems and migration. Another huge task.

And then of course there’s the small fact that even simple, single-femto consumer deployments have yet to be developed fully, let alone rolled out.

Of course, dual-mode enterprise WiFi/cellular isn’t that easy either. But it is “here and now” (albeit belatedly), and by the time all the issues above get fixed, it should be pretty mature. So in other words femto-based solutions will have to work well with that, as well.

The ultimate solution is some sort of mega-hybrid, embracing cellular, dual-mode, WiFi-only, DECT, IP centrex, outsourcing where appropriate, mobile PBX extensions, fixed hard phones, PC softphones, indoor cellular coverage with picos/femtos and DAS…. and having customers that understand it, enterprise applications that integrate nicely with all the devices, and channels that can sell the right solution. Now I think about it, maybe 5 years is optimistic…..